CIA Reading Room cia-rdp79r01012a001400010007-7: (UNTITLED)

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DIR S4'r'ri:5 1 1 . ti r~ Approved For Release 2005/04/27 : CIA-RDP79RO1012AO01400010007-7 33C WCU II'Y IHfORMAFIO id by 'political 2 current situation in Iran econ alc factors and the dote a whether or not osaad.eq will `oluntari d1 ate f atuare an Prime Mini -ter. There indiacantions, such as the resignation of Dr. Haa$Ibi (the exponent of the belief that Iran can opera out tarot anicaatl cooper tic, id arguments of the opposition, and the wor senir , that Mosadeq may be won;da ring whether can restore minitzttn economic stability. However bablo that his partisans will not his resignation, at least until after the 0*1aJI e no now taacln., place in Tehran and the northorn the ceseat State Dept. review completed ng strains on Iranian economy art pall # Cal exchange revenues from the oil RtsT 1 TIIPCI~ Review of this document by CIA has determined That C;A has no oblaat'sen to declass it contains infarrraaion of CIA Inter+orf that mas: remain Approved For Release 2005/04/27: CIA-RDP79RO1012AO0146 -7 TS S t, ;a an 70.2 25X1 Approved For Release 2005/04/27 : CIA-RDP79RO1012AO01400010007-7 MGR r Y i OH'AArIo P. ne have so far affected seriously only the a serious shortage or funds, it has not yet exhausted sue at its d.i spooal for raising more revenue The Shah cannot re ov4 probably brir 3n on civ derv at the pro ouch the goverrm ent is .n which onadea. with the t pert of the ee cr t ty forces and the Tudeh Party would be pitted a ainet the :shah., it probable that the revolutionaries would win in Tehran and declare the dsatsty ended. 4. It kosadeq, (lea probable do ands or his psffirtisaus, thout proposing, a successor the eo bination of dissention within robable plus the pressure of cppoeition Deputies will permit Shah to naze an Interim Prime Minister, probably Approved For Rel b'17t41 t:c :TA R01012A001400010007-7 Approved For Release 2005/04/27 : CIA-RDP79RO1012AO01400010007-7 low SECURITY i ?,t O r A! UOU ; osade Waeoasso-rt as os yn ak i probable that the ea Majlis majority too until the and of the current eondiilioras liltely that osa4eq will accep which the and foreign oil tor: an Insist upon If they are to resume the purchase of Iranian if that is the caase,, it is likely that i osawadeq will insist upon selling to any purchaser who will provide ortatl elections result in a lar, nal. Front a it is probable that Mosadeq will retire and be succeeded by a Naati naal Front leader. A me aocncml c pr,ssrirees may make it possible to revisa the Oil axe Law to provide a flexibility whi eptable to the major oil companies. Such a would, however, be accornp; nied by a brsak.up Approved For Release 2005/04NT=-RDP79R01012A001400010007-7 SEC '' I" 1A"`IO Approved For Release 2005/04/27 : CIA-RDP79RO1012AO01400010007-7 Si"'CRET S CURITT ' Q:MATIoN ..3,#to the open 4s arl active o a.JVsition* nal Front with the Tudseh sympathizers